Friday, November 05, 2004
Memo to the Left: An Account of the Missing Young Vote
Much has been said about the lack of voter turnout amongst the "youth" of America, i.e., those voters between the ages of 18 and 29. The Democrats were convinced they were finally going to crack the youth voter nut and get young people out to the polls in record numbers. That was their strategy to winning Ohio. In their view, the young voters would trump the "radical religious zealots" (I'm paraphrasing what I've heard from the left) who ended up handing the presidency to George W. Bush.
Now, the election over, the left is confused. What happened to the youth vote? Why, they even had Eminem out there, with a scantily clad blonde writhing around in a t-shirt which said, "Vote or Die." And the youth didn't respond?
Hollywood backed John Kerry. There were concerts, there were MTV events. And the youth didn't respond?
They don't seem to understand why the younger voters didn't pull through for them. James Taranto, of the WSJ Opinion Journal, has an answer for the left: abortion.
If we add up the number [of abortions] from 1975-86, we come up with approximately 17.5 million missing eligible voters between 18 and 29 years old. Exit polls found that voters this age who were born went for Kerry over Bush, 54% to 45%, while Bush had a majority in all other age groups. If it's true that women who have abortions tend to be more liberal than those who don't, then the unborn 18- to 29-year-olds likely would have favored the Democrat even more heavily.This follows closely with the results of another report, broken down in a rather systematic and scientific manner, that indicate that abortion has resulted in a severely altered political landscape. In the June issue of the American Spectator, Larry Eastland provided an in-depth analysis of "missing voters." A synopsis this article:
"The absence of the missing voters may not be noticed, but that doesn't mean its political impact disappears. As seen during a famine, what no longer exists becomes as relevant as what does...So, for the John Kerry's of the world--who claim to personally oppose abortion, yet refuse to "force" others to adhere to their morals--this should be a lesson learned. Next election, they shouldn't stand around scratching their heads wondering where the youth vote went. Thanks to their liberal agenda, much of the youth vote never had a chance to go either way.
"Here's what we know from several generations of social science research about children:
"In the actual popular vote for president in the 2000 general election in Florida, George W. Bush was declared the winner by 537 votes. But if the 260,962 Missing Voters of Florida had been present to vote, Al Gore would have won by 45,366 votes. Missing Voters--through decisions made in the 1970s and early 1980s, encouraged and emboldened by the feminist movement at the height of its power--altered the outcome of the U.S. presidency a generation later, in a way proponents of legal abortion could not have imagined.
- They tend to absorb the values of their parents.
- They tend to have the same political views as their family (parents, siblings, immediate relatives) and share common views on political causes.
- They tend to develop the same lifestyle as their family.
"Abortion has caused missing Democrats--and missing liberals. For advocates so fundamentally committed to changing the face of conservative America, liberals have been remarkably blind to the fact that every day the abortions they advocate dramatically decrease their power to do so."